Próby stabilizacji Egiptu po Arabskiej Wiośnie. Military electoral authoritarianism

Abstract

The Arab Spring in Egypt and the overthrow of the regime of Hosni Mubarak in January 2011 should be seen as one of the implications of the Jasmine Revolution in Tunisia. The Arab Spring was perceived by Western states as a process that should bring about the democratization of the Middle East and North Africa, as well as the emergence of civil societies in the countries of the region. The Arab Spring, despite the initial wave of rebellions, was supposed to imply stabilization of the region. The results of the Arab Spring, however, turned out to be completely different from the expected ones. In the case of Egypt, the regime change did not bring effective alternation in the socio-political order. Opposition groups, prodemocracy activists and subsequently moderate Islamists became the beneficiaries of Hosni Mubarak’s overthrow in the short term. The actual winner was the army and former military officers, including President General Abd al-Fattah as-Sisi re-elected in March, 2018. The Arab Spring initiated the next stage in the history of Egypt – military electoral authoritarianism, equally undemocratic as before January 25, 2011. In Egypt, the stability of the state is guarded by the army fighting with Islamicradicals and terrorists and having the support of the United States.